I’ve seen 13 presidential races come and go, and I got fired up only once. It was the race of ’71-’72, when the Democrats managed to field an antiwar candidate. Sadly, a pall of doom descended on that election and gave it a sour “what’s the use?” flavor that became all too familiar. That was more than four decades ago, a long time to be uninspired. But now the thrill is back. Another political Halley’s Comet has entered my life: Bernie Sanders is running.
Two very different obstacles stand between Bernie and the White House. They’re the customary ones—getting a party nomination and winning the general election. The former, I think, will be the more difficult one. The Republicans will implode, no matter whom they nominate. I’ll explain why further on, but first to the question of why Hillary is so formidable.
Hillary Clinton is the presumed Democratic nominee, not just by John and Jane Q. Public, but by the media, too. True, this was also the case in 2007, and we know how that turned out. This time, however, it’s a little different…. Hillary is the archetype of the unrewarded woman. She married a satyr who could not be controlled, not even at the risk of a national scandal and her humiliation. It was her bravery, loyalty, and dignity in the face of humiliation that put her in the Senate. She served with competence, became even more admired, and, in 2007, seemed the perfect antidote to the 8-year Bush debacle. But no. Complete vindication—and the honor of becoming the first woman ever to ascend to the presidency—was snatched from her by a rank outsider, an upstart whose only credits were a gift for rhetoric and early opposition to the Iraq War. She tasted bitterness again, but again she showed courage, a willingness to serve, and extraordinary patience. Now she is surely entitled to claim what is her due! No one could be so cruel so as to deny her! Or so many women—millions of them—believe.
The aura of entitlement that surrounds Hillary translates into a mystical quality known as “electability.” The polls say she has a lot of it. She’s an excellent bet to win the general election, or so the Democrats believe. So why take a chance on an old Jewish guy from an all-white state who no one ever heard of before this summer? A guy who’s stuck with the accursed label “Socialist” to boot. What a dumb gamble that would be.
Bernie’s certainly got his work cut out, but he’s up to the challenge. He’s got the most powerful assets a politician can have: intelligence, compassion, and authenticity. His talking points are simple and factual, delivered without deceit or manipulation. There’s no soft soap about coming from the working poor or about parents who were simple union folk. No bad-mouthing or snide innuendos about his opponents. No negative campaigning whatsoever. He’s all about issues. Here’s a small sample from his speeches:
When you look at the basic necessities of life—education, health care, nutrition—there must be a guarantee that people receive what they need in order to live a dignified life.
The time has come to say that we need to expand Medicare to cover every man, woman, and child.
It is insane that we have hundreds of thousands of bright young people who have the desire and ability to go to college but their families cannot afford the tuition.
America is now an oligarchy, not a democracy.
The current campaign system is corrupt and amounts to legalized bribery.
It is an obscenity that we stigmatize so many Americans with a criminal record for smoking marijuana, but not one major Wall Street executive has been prosecuted for causing the near-collapse of our entire economy.
The fossil fuel industry is destroying the planet and getting rich while doing it.
Why is it that Republicans are willing to bail out Wall Street but refuse to act on climate change? Let’s be honest. If the environment were a bank, it would have been saved by now.
The time has come for us to stand up and fight back against voter suppression. We will make sure that voter registration is automatic, the responsibility of the government.
Can you imagine Hillary saying that people must be guaranteed the necessities for a dignified life? Or advocating a health care system that would put health care insurers out of business? Or knocking Wall Street and labeling America an oligarchy? Or acknowledging that campaigns such as hers are legalized bribery? No, all of that is inconceivable. This is a person who has worked incessantly to convince corporations and billionaires to give money to her family’s foundation and to her campaigns. How, then, does Hillary approach the electorate for support? Well, take a look at her first campaign ad… and be prepared to gag, repeatedly.
As to the Republicans…
Could anything be more grotesque than the pronouncements, frequently made by party flunkies and the candidates themselves, that America is blessed to have such an extraordinary array of presidential hopefuls? New Speak was never so perverse! The first candidates’ debate was little more than a showcase for ignorance and mean-spirited ideas. But that isn’t why the Republicans are doomed in 2016. Americans can be sold bad ideas, if they are delivered loudly and pridefully. No, the reason the Republicans are doomed is because Donald Trump, an unelectable, egomaniacal billionaire, has captured the dumbass core of the party. I know of only one other personality like his, Triumph the Insult Comic Dog’s. Take a look and see if you don’t agree.
If Trump were electable, the Republican establishment would embrace him. He isn’t, so somehow they have to ensure he isn’t nominated. Pulling this off will be quite a trick. Trump’s popularity isn’t likely to crumble; it seems to be 100% bullet-proof. He’s going to win some primaries, maybe more than a few. The only workable anti-Trump strategy is to keep as many candidates as possible in the race until next spring and hope to deny Trump 51% of the delegates. It will help that some of the states will parcel out their delegates proportionately, according to the distribution of votes. If this strategy works, the convention will be a mess, and the alternative to Trump will be decided in the proverbial “smoke-filled room.” Of course, this will provoke considerable ill-will, making a Trump third-party candidacy likely. If the strategy fails, Trump will be nominated. Either way, the Republicans lose in the fall.
This presidential race will be quite a show, with a possible jackpot at the end. I acknowledge that Bernie’s odds are long, but for now I’m hopeful. And if he falls by the wayside, will it be decades more before another like him comes along? I’m inclined to think not. Bernie has defined “the chasm,” the distance between what America is and what America could be. He’s defined it better than any major party figure in my memory. So come what may, I’ll always thank him for saying what needs to be said, clearly, repeatedly, and on a big stage.